Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.032337 0.035295 0.038272 0.041487 0.044854 0.048272 0.051997
2025-12-21 0.028008 0.032426 0.037018 0.042123 0.047618 0.053334 0.059708
2025-12-28 0.023618 0.028960 0.034686 0.041224 0.048431 0.056087 0.064788
2026-01-04 0.020757 0.026827 0.033513 0.041326 0.050112 0.059605 0.070556
2026-01-11 0.018721 0.025392 0.032925 0.041905 0.052175 0.063428 0.076567
2026-01-18 0.016991 0.024135 0.032392 0.042416 0.054055 0.066963 0.082191
2026-01-25 0.014415 0.021653 0.030249 0.040907 0.053490 0.067633 0.084506
2026-02-01 0.012709 0.020095 0.029086 0.040439 0.054034 0.069487 0.088091
2026-02-08 0.011354 0.018869 0.028236 0.040263 0.054853 0.071602 0.091929
2026-02-15 0.010771 0.018599 0.028533 0.041448 0.057262 0.075545 0.097860
2026-02-22 0.010116 0.018179 0.028597 0.042312 0.059262 0.078993 0.103208
2026-03-01 0.009362 0.017562 0.028365 0.042771 0.060743 0.081812 0.107809
2026-03-08 0.008485 0.016731 0.027836 0.042859 0.061795 0.084160 0.111921
2026-03-15 0.008034 0.016483 0.028062 0.043898 0.064014 0.087909 0.117698
2026-03-22 0.006997 0.015283 0.026943 0.043158 0.063993 0.088947 0.120252
2026-03-29 0.006366 0.014649 0.026562 0.043348 0.065112 0.091344 0.124412
2026-04-05 0.005929 0.014286 0.026533 0.043983 0.066778 0.094396 0.129348
2026-04-12 0.005502 0.013902 0.026450 0.044528 0.068318 0.097288 0.134092
2026-04-19 0.004536 0.012517 0.024857 0.042984 0.067140 0.096814 0.134756
2026-04-26 0.003944 0.011717 0.024075 0.042506 0.067308 0.097975 0.137377
2026-05-03 0.003480 0.011097 0.023528 0.042327 0.067844 0.099580 0.140528
2026-05-10 0.003366 0.011136 0.023984 0.043548 0.070216 0.103477 0.146482
2026-05-17 0.003189 0.011032 0.024209 0.044438 0.072151 0.106830 0.151774